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But powerful as it is, AdSense isn't everything. Newspapers have traditionally made money aggregating audiences to sell to advertisers; that same avenue is available via banner ads and other, more innovation iterations that still serve a valuable (though diminishing) purpose.
Nobody ever used a search engine to locate a product they don't know exists. AdSense won't serve new product introductions very well. Branding and reputational advertising doesn't work well on a text-only, click-through basis.
Something as old-fashioned as a simple display ad (a banner ad online) placed in front of the right audience works better. And the most recent research shows it still works.
http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20070519-t...
I absoultely agree. I should have be clearer in that I'm not referring to newspaper ad revenue from AdSense, which I know is a minority of revenue. I was using Google more as an emblatic reference for the web's content marketplace.
And yes, display ads do create real value, as I discussed here using, coincidentally, the same Ars Technica story (I fixed the link in your comment).
The issue for news sites is more around content discovery, because content that isn't found can't be monetized through any means.
Made For AdSense sites are found through arbitragers' AdWords ads that they run on search engines. Without AdSense revenue, there is no incentive to make those sites discoverable in Google.
For newspaper, the issue is whether searchers will discretely seek out the type of journalism that has traditionally come packaged with the newspaper.
I absolutely agree. But this is not a question of whether the Foruth Estate isn't, in fact, essential. The problem is that Fourth Estate was easier for people to value when it came packaged with the sports page and the cartoons. Disaggregation on the web means that journalism needs to be valued on its own -- that is the challenge presented by the disruption of the news business.
First let me betray my heritage by saying I'd read Samuelson's column on pulp and ink.
To your point about the airspace between crapland and Pulitizerville:
The "sweet spot" for a lot of sites featuring (on the main stage or as a side act) news is commodity journalism. Wire reporting of the sort you see crawling across the bottom of the screen on Headline News and CNBC. AP, Reuters, Bloomberg, that crowd.
Commodity journalism has brand credibility and a respectable quality floor. It never hits home runs but hits singles and sometimes doubles every day. It is created by huge InfoCorps, so it's priced way cheaper than original content. It is utterly safe and never antagonizes the great powers with a daring idea. We all scan it every day.
Here's the mediascape I see developing:
The vast middle of the news stream is filled by commodity reporting.
The bottom end, with very low production costs and tiny audiences, will be a random mix of frisky-smart boutiques, hammer-stupid storefronts and muttering whackjobs carrying big signs that the world is ending.
The higher end--the places that produce the essential work of truth-squadding public affairs and kicking ass when necessary--is left with no revenue stream to sustain it, and high fixed costs.
Who what becomes of the work that Holly so (justifiably) cherishes?
Either it will fall to Zuckermanesque highbrow vanities, or to any number of digital empires willing to consider world-class news a promotional expense.
Or, my favorite option: They'll be run by public service non-profit foundations, endowed to produce the kind of independent journalism the world needs but cannot be sustained by new economics.
Yes: The most important journalistic work becomes a kind of charity case, funded as a public service alongside anti-tuberculosis campaigns and save-the-whales efforts.